Today stems from yesterday'': A Kirkuk-centric analysis of central periphery relationship of Baghdad and Iraqi Kurds

2003 sonrası dönemde, zengin petrol yataklarına sahip Kerkük'ün gelecekteki statüsü, Bölgesel Kürt Yönetimi ile Bağdat arasında çözülmeyi bekleyen politik problemler arasındaki ayrıcalıklı yerini hala korumaktadır. Kerkük sorunu karmaşıklaştıran en önemli neden Iraklı Kürtlerle Bağdat'ın Kerkük'ün tarihi hakkındaki farklı yaklaşımları ve bundan kaynaklanan farklı politik hedefleridir. Iraklı Kürtler Kerkük'ü Kudüsleri olarak tanımlamakta ve hedeflerine ulaşmak için sahada Bağdat'ın reddedemeyeceği gerçeklikler yaratma stratejileri uygulamaktadır. Öte yandan, Bağdat ise kendisi için Irak'ın bağımsızlık ve birliğinin sembolü olarak gördüğü Kerkük konusunda ani ve zorlayıcı bir çözümün etnik şiddet ihtimalini arttıracağını dile getirmektedir. Kerkük konusunda Bağdat ve Iraklı Kürtlerin uyguladığı bu iki farklı yaklaşım, Kerkük sorununun yakın gelecekte Irak'taki politik gerilimi artacağı konusundaki tezleri güçlendirirken öte yandan da Bağdat ile Iraklı Kürtlerin uzun soluklu ve oldukça problemli evlilikleri hakkında önemli ipuçları vermektedir. Bu çalışma' öncelikle Kerkük konusundaki Bağdat ve Iraklı Kürtlerin farklı yaklaşımlarının tarihi kökeni hakkında bilgi vermekte, müteakiben de Kerkük lensi üzerinden Bağdat ile Iraklı Kürtlerin çevre-merkez ilişkileri hakkında bir analiz sunmaktadır.

''Bugün dünden doğar'': Bağdat ve Iraklı Kürtlerin çevre-merkez ilişkisinin Kerkük merkezli bir analizi

Kirkuk, the oil rich northern governorate of Iraq with symbolic meaning has been sitting at the epicenter of inflammatory nationalist debates of Iraqi Kurds and Baghdad. The difficulty in the accommodation of different historical narratives, and thus, political objectives, has exacerbated the complexity of the problem. The Iraqi Kurds have argued that Kirkuk is their Jerusalem and have been applying "creating facts on the ground" strategy to achieve their goals. On the other hand, for Baghdad, Kirkuk has been the symbol of unity and sovereignty of Iraq. Baghdad has also concerns of the likelihood of violence ifa resolution for Kirkuk is forced too soon. These two competing approaches, in fact, not only draw the attentions to the fact-of escalating tension between the Iraqi Kurds and Baghdad on the contested status of Kirkuk but also provide insights for this decades-old problematic marriage of Iraqi Kurds and Baghdad. This article, therefore, aims to present a Kirkuk-centric analysis of the history of Iraq so as to lay out the conflicting historical perspectives on Kirkuk, and endeavors to derive conclusions concerning the central periphery relationship between Baghdad and the Iraqi Kurds thorough the lens of the contested status of Kirkuk. Lastly, it intends to provide insights for the future through the evolution of Iraqi politics over the course of the 2Cfh century.

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BOOKS

Anderson, Liam, Gareth Stansfield, Crisis In Kirkuk, (University of Pennsylvania Press, 2009).

Astarjian, Henry D. ,The Struggle for Kirkuk ,(Wesport: Praeger Security International, 2007).

Delanty, Gerard Patrick J. O'Mahony , Nationalism and Social Theory, (Sage Publications, 2002).

Gunter, Michael M. The Kurds Ascending: The Evolving Solution to the Kurdish Problem In Iraq and Turkey (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008).

Gunther, Michael M. ,The Kurdish Predicament In Iraq, (New York, Palgrave Macmillan ,1999).

Karaca, Oguz , Musul-Kerkuk ve Kuzey Irak, (Istanbul: Resital Yayinlari, ,2007 Turkish).

McDowall, David, A Modern History of the Kurds, (New York: St.Martin* s 'Press, 1996).

Park, Bill, 'The Kurds and post-Saddam Political Arrangements in Iraq', The Adelphi Papers (2005)

Robinson, Linda, Master Of Chaos, (Public Affairs Press, 2005).

Sluglett , Marion Farouk and Peter Sluglett, Iraq Since 1958: From Revolution to Dictatorship, ( New York: I.B. Tauris, 2003).

Smith, Michael, The Killer Elite, (New York: St.Martin Griffin Press, 2008).

Stansfield, Gareth, Iraqi Kurdistan: Political Development and Emergent Democracy, (Routledge Press, June 19,2003).

Tripp, Charles, A History of Iraq, (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2007).

ARTICLES

Barkey, Henri J., 'Preventing Conflict over Kurdistan ', Carnegie Endowment, February 2009.

Brinkerhoff, Derick, V. 'Good Governance in Fragile States', Paper presented in Workshop No. 3: Making the Good Enough Governance Agenda Realistic 4th International Specialized Conference, Ankara, Turkey June 23-27, 2008.

Dagher, Sam 'Iraq Elections May Leave Kirkuk Status Uncertain', New York Times, March 12, 2010.

Dagher, Sam, 'Tensions Stoke between Iraqi Kurds and Sunnis', New York Times, May 17,2009.

Gunther, Michael M.,' Intra-Kurdish Disputes in Northern Iraq', Terrorism Monitör, Volume : S Issue:9 May 10,2009).

Güçlü, Yücel, 'Who Owns Kirkuk?', Middle East Quarterly, Winter, 2007.

Farrel, Stephen, 'As Iraqis Vie For Kirkuk's Oil, Kurds Are Pawns', New York Times, December 9,2007.

Hiltermann, Joost, 'Kirkuk and the Kurds: A Difficult Choice Ahead', Al Hayat, May 22, 2007.

Hiltermann, Joost, ' To Protect or to Project? Iraqi Kurds and Their Future', Middle East Report, International Crisis Group 2008.

Hiltermann, Joost, 'Iraq: Everyone Wants a Piece of Kirkuk, the Golden Prize', International Crisis Group Report, February 26,2009.

Kalyvas, Stathis N. Matthew Kocher, 'Ethnic Cleavages and Irregular War: Vietnam and Iraq', Politics& Society, Vol:35 No:2, 2007.

Khalid, Lydia, 'Stability in Iraqi Kurdistan: Reality or Mirage', The Working Paper , Brookings Institution 7 June 2009.

Kutschera, Chris, 'A Kurdish Emirate', Middle East Daily, May 2008.

Mahmoud, Mustafa,' Iraq's Divided Votes May Deepen Kirkuk Dispute', Reuters, March, 23, 2010.

Myers, Steven Lee, 'Politics delay an Iraqi Census', New York Times, December 6, 2010.

Oppel, Richard A. Jr. , 'Kurdish Control of Kirkuk Creates a Powder Keg in Iraq', New York Times, August 19,2008.

Peltier, Isaac, 'Surrogate Warfare : The Role American Special Forces', School Of Advanced Military Studies 2005.

Rubin, Michael, 'Is Iraqi Kurdistan a good Ally?', American Enterprise of Public Policy Research, Middle Eastern Outlook, No:l, 2008.

Shali, Shaman, 'Article 140 and the Future of Iraq' delivered at a conference organized by the Washington Kurdish Institute on March 9, 2008.

Stansfield, Gareth, 'Kurdistan-Iraq: Can the Unified Regional Government Work?',Arab Reform Buletin 4, Issue 5(June 2006).

Talabani, Jalal 'No Grounds for Relations with Baghdad', Middle East Quarterly, Winter 2002.

Williams, Timothy 'Allawi Victory in Iraq Sets up a period of Uncertainty', New York Times, March 26, 2010.

Wolf, Stefan/Governing in Kirkuk: Resolving the Status of a Disputed Territory in post-American Iraq', International Affairs, 86: 6 (2010).

INTERVIEWS

Bartu, Peter : Interview held in Berkeley on June 23, 2009. REPORTS

'The Kurds in Post-Saddam Iraq', CRS Report for Congress, 2007 http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RS22079.pdf

The UNAMI Report (Two chapters - Discussion and Explanatory papers).

International Crisis Group, 'Iraq and the Kurds: Trouble along the Trigger Line'. Middle East Report, No: 88

'Turkey and Iraqi Kurds: Conflict or Cooperation?' International Crisis Group Report, No: 81

'Iraq and the Kurds: Resolving the Kirkuk Crisis', Middle East Report, No: 64, International Crisis Group

NEWSPAPERS

Turkish Daily News (Ankara), July 17, 2002

Middle East Economic Survey, June 14, 2004

International Herald Tribune, June 21, 2004

Middle East Times , Februrary 18

Awene Newspaper, Sept. 12, 2006

New York Times, May 17,2009

VIDEO EVENTS

Kurdish Elections: Implications for Iraq and the Region (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Event, Washington DC, August 6, 2009) http:7/carnegieendowment.org/events/?fa=eventDetail&id=1380

LEGAL DOCUMENTS

Law of Administration for the State of Iraq for the Transitional Period (TAL): http://www.cpa-iraq.org/government/TAL.html

The Constitution of Iraq : http://www.uniraq.org/documents/iraqi_constitution.pdf

KRG Unification Agreement: http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/469cdd7a2.html

ONLINE SOURCES

'Kurd-Arab Kirkuk Clash Is "Ticking Time Bomb,' UN Mediator Says' http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aQOVnZuH7l_____4U&refer =home

'Kirkuk Compromise Prospects Brighten' http://www.gulfnews.com/region/Iraq/1030525 3.html

'Surrogate Warfare: The Role of U.S. Army Special Forces' http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA436109&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf

'Iraq: The Provincial Elections and Al-Maliki's New Prospects' http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20090205_iraq_provincial_elections_and_al_maliki s_new_prospects

'Asharq Al-Awsat Interviews Iraqi Kurdistan President Masud Barzani' http://www.aawsat.com/english/news.asp?section=3&id=16060

'The Interview of Mehmet Serpil, CEO of Genel Energy' http://www.taraf.com.tr/makale/ 5931.htm

'Electoral Commission Announces Final Results of Kurdistan Region Elections' http://www.lcrg.org/articles/detail.asp?rnr=223&lngnr=12&smap=02010100&anr=30 895

'Court Hears Reports on Saddam's Forces' http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/12/20/AR2006122001300.html